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Euro area overcomes the recession, U.S. data set dollar under pressure

Euro area overcomes the recession, U.S. data set dollar under pressure

GDP indicates possible end to the euro crisis.
In the euro crisis slowly the light at the end of the tunnel is emerging. The published today GDP for the entire euro area showed, after six quarters of negative, positive growth. This growth at 0.3%, is still very low, but provides an important signal for the approaching end of the euro crisis. Highlighting here is the growth of Portugal. While forecasts still saw the Portugal's GDP at -0.2%, the economy has a positive sign and a quarter gain of 1.1% for the first time since 2010. This shows that the economy slowly picks up in the southern countries of the euro area, not least through the sometimes quite controversial reforms. A problem is still seen in the Spanish economy, the fourth largest of the euro area, where it was found that the orders were for the industry last year decline 7.8%. But the development of the euro also shows that investors are not yet convinced this is the worst finally behind us. Against the USD, the EUR currently posted a narrow gain of 0.03% at a price of 1.3264, but this is due, among other things, poor U.S. economic data. Only the EUR against the CHF has seen a pronounced increase in the amount of currently 0.32% with a rate of 1.2411.

U.S. Data cast further doubt about the reducing of the Fed's purchases.
The data published so far this week to the U.S. economy have cast doubt on an early reduction of bond purchases by the Fed. During yesterday's numbers still roughly reflected the predictions were today's figures to the U.S. producer price indices are all below the predicted values. Were the positive data in recent weeks still the basis for speculation that the Fed could reduce its program to purchase bonds in the amount of 85 billion U.S. dollars a month in September, so this is less likely at the moment. Even though no major impact on the USD are seen, it could  change tomorrow when the weekly numbers on applications for Initial and Continuing Jobless Claims in the U.S. are published.

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Risk Warning / Disclaimer
The opinions of the author to market behavior do not constitute a solicitation to buy or sell any financial products, but are merely a personal opinion. When you go into the trade in leveraged financial products, you must be aware that a loss up to the amount of your deposit and in addition, can also be an obligation to arise. Make yourself familiar with the active trade or get independent advice before you invest your own money and use only invest money that you can get over the worst case.

 

EUR / USD falls clearly below 1.33 - Data for European economic sentiment can not convince

EUR / USD falls clearly below 1.33 - Data for European economic sentiment can not convince

The pair EUR/USD has fallen clearly back below the mark of 1.3300 today. Although the data on the economic sentiment for Germany, as well as for the entire euro area were positive and even exceeded forecasts, showed that the confidence of investors is still not been recovered in the economic development of the countries of the common currency. Although the figures show that the end of the recession is in outlook, there are still some problems to overcome. For example, in Greece the question is still in the room, if the country manages will get the national debt under control through reforms or whether a further haircut is necessary. In other southern countries of the euro area, although some reforms have already been implemented, but a visible success is slow in coming on.

That investor confidence in the euro is still low, was particularly after the publication of the monthly U.S. retail sales. While these reflecting the forecasts on average, the USD could clearly benefit from them. The pair EUR/USD fell below with the mark of 1.33. Currently the pair is trading at 1.3260, which represents a decrease of 0.30%.

Even compared to its other counterparts, the U.S. dollar was able to record profits. The pair USD/JPY rising 1.36% and currently stands at 98.21. USD/CHF rose by 0.78% and the current rate is currently at 0.9330.

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 Risk Warning / Disclaimer
The opinions of the author to market behavior do not constitute a solicitation to buy or sell any financial products, but are merely a personal opinion. When you go into the trade in leveraged financial products, you must be aware that a loss up to the amount of your deposit and in addition, can also be an obligation to arise. Make yourself familiar with the active trade or get independent advice before you invest your own money and use only invest money that you can get over the worst case.

 

Where will the market move today?

Where will the market move today?

After yesterday, was due to be seen by relative scarcity message, only little movement in the foreign exchange market, it could give clear signals to investors today.

Important data for the euro come from Germany.
In the euro zone investor attention is likely to focus today primarily on the economic data from Germany. Here today the German Consumer Price Index data and the figures on the German ZEW Economic Expectations are published. While the CPI, it should show no gross deviation, should have no greater impact on the euro exchange rate, this could look very different in the economic outlook. It can be assumed that the expected increase from 36.3 to 40.0 points is already priced into the course and confirmation of the forecast should not cause major price movement. If the forecast, however, are undercut and show a value below 38.0 points, it could usher in a bearish trend for the euro rate and bring the EUR/USD below the 1.3300 mark clearly again. On top of that, to be published simultaneously with the German ZEW figures, comes the figures for the economic expectations for the entire euro zone. A weak specification of the heavy weight of the euro zone should also have them don't look good.

UK comes from a wealth of data
From the United Kingdom is published today at 10:30 h (CET) a whole bunch of data. While much of the data, taken alone, don't have greater impact, the total could have a greater impact on the GBP. A look at the forecasts shows that no major changes are expected. Only the figures for consumer price inflation could cause a larger movement, if they show that the expected value of 2.8% was well below.

The USD could show strength.
The USD could again show strength today. At 14:30 clock the figures on U.S. retail sales will be released today. Forecasts indicate that they are probably now show for the fourth month in a row an increase. This could again, especially in the advance of the speeches by FOMC Member Bullard on Wednesday, once again fuel the speculation of a clear indication from the Fed to a reduction of bond purchases.

 

Risk Warning / Disclaimer
The opinions of the author to market behavior do not constitute a solicitation to buy or sell any financial products, but are merely a personal opinion. When you go into the trade in leveraged financial products, you must be aware that a loss up to the amount of your deposit and in addition, can also be an obligation to arise. Make yourself familiar with the active trade or get independent advice before you invest your own money and use only invest money that you can get over the worst case.

 

GDP weakens the Yen, the USD starts the week gaining

GDP weakens the Yen, the USD starts the week gaining

At the start of the trading week the Japanese Yen has lost some of its gains from the previous week. The GDP figures for the last quarter showed that the growth of the Japanese economy is not yet on solid ground, which brings the confidence of the investors. GDP rose last quarter by 0.6%, but was thus 0.3% lower than forecast and was therefore rather disappointing for investors. Additionally showed that industrial production continues to suffer from japan low capacity utilization and weak orders. The JPY has suffered losses in a row against all nahzu counterparts. The USD / JPY is currently up 0.61% recorded at a price of 96.84. The EUR / JPY pair recorded a current gain of 0.35% at a price of 128.85.

The U.S. dollar reported earlier this week once again slight gains. These are grounded in first line already on the expected numbers tomorrow to U.S. Retail Sales. This should, according to the forecasts, down for the fourth month in a row, and serve as a further argument in favor of speculation about an imminent reduction of bond purchases by the Fed. The USD is currently against the JPY posted a gain of 0.56% at a price of 96.79. The pair EUR/USD is currently at 1.3304, a decline of 0.29%.

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Risk Warning / Disclaimer
The opinions of the author to market behavior do not constitute a solicitation to buy or sell any financial products, but are merely a personal opinion. When you go into the trade in leveraged financial products, you must be aware that a loss up to the amount of your deposit and in addition, can also be an obligation to arise. Make yourself familiar with the active trade or get independent advice before you invest your own money and use only invest money that you can get over the worst case.

 

Preview of important economic events from 11-August-2013 to 16-August-2013

Preview of important economic events from 11-August-2013 to 16-August-2013

Here we show you a preview of the most important economic events in the next week, which can have a major influence at the Forex-Market.

This week the focus could be on the United Kingdom. After the GBP was set in an uptrend in the last weeks, their are a lot of economic data from the UK in this week, which could show whether the GBP can hold its trend.  Aditional to the data, which are mentioned below in the table, coming into this week a variety of data, which are usually individually don't have a large influence on the movement of the market, but when they are published in a timely manner to each other, in the sum could have greater impact. You'll find all this events in the economic calendar.

Date/Time (GMT -5) Event Currency Previous Forecast
11 August 2013 19:00h Japan GDP (QoQ) JPY 1.0% 0.9%
13 August 2013 04:30h United Kingdom CPI (YoY) GBP 2.9% 2.8%
13 August 2013 05:00h German ZEW Economic Sentiment EUR 36.3 40.0
13 August 2013 08:30h US - Core Retail Sales (MoM) USD 0.0% 0.4%
13 August 2013 04:30h US - Retail Sales (MoM) USD 0.3% 0.4%
14 August 2013 02:00h German GDP (QoQ) EUR 0.1% 0.6%
14 August 2013 04:30h UK- Claimant Count Change GBP 21.2K 15.0K
14 August 2013 04:30h MPC meeting Minutes GBP --- ---
15 August 2013 04:30h UK - Retail Sales (MoM) GBP 0.2% 0.6%
15 August 2013 08:30h US - Initial Jobless Claims USD 333K 335K
15 August 2013 08:30h US - Core CPI (MoM) USD 0.2% 0.2%
         

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